Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 345.944772 392.943183 445.418417 508.615798 583.009070 668.221302 773.816811
2025-07-27 276.984191 338.321092 413.195323 512.385989 641.940699 807.658941 1039.362905
2025-08-03 232.715322 297.553550 381.338934 499.498952 665.054876 893.757612 1242.660984
2025-08-10 202.878863 268.821361 357.939749 490.092726 686.224494 975.232472 1450.593952
2025-08-17 187.518389 256.585775 353.809101 504.830828 741.446198 1112.426584 1769.612883
2025-08-24 170.578357 239.611729 340.097951 502.352230 768.520891 1208.824486 2041.753120
2025-08-31 155.198466 222.960309 324.484129 494.046940 783.745508 1286.650806 2297.167109
2025-09-07 144.559321 212.164301 316.290969 495.984451 815.481630 1397.418135 2640.730062
2025-09-14 132.862269 198.511826 302.000841 485.621385 823.475801 1465.161810 2912.943594
2025-09-21 124.502519 189.319640 293.867662 484.578026 847.815365 1567.900959 3287.543786
2025-09-28 113.710523 175.249025 276.273245 464.552355 832.984348 1588.565355 3477.479214
2025-10-05 110.690025 173.718461 279.691189 483.075814 896.217799 1784.705154 4155.740219
2025-10-12 107.962974 172.608806 284.000635 504.393230 969.993638 2023.326704 5041.806160
2025-10-19 102.674686 166.659266 279.155033 507.418196 1005.768134 2182.861766 5771.672883
2025-10-26 95.762288 157.293787 267.203323 494.720223 1004.677046 2251.978521 6254.357782
2025-11-02 89.958818 149.479957 257.458412 485.420607 1009.896823 2338.487203 6830.341029
2025-11-09 87.605560 147.736949 259.012239 499.988251 1073.631750 2595.728201 8117.635975
2025-11-16 83.446597 142.341626 253.024523 497.538407 1095.499478 2742.143294 9070.456600
2025-11-23 78.997314 136.094709 244.849856 489.329270 1101.590658 2844.417736 9902.651108
2025-11-30 75.967438 132.336479 241.336756 491.244380 1134.294489 3036.052122 11226.865734
2025-12-07 71.944829 126.405755 232.951235 481.000914 1132.962667 3120.290622 12115.127680
2025-12-14 69.103707 122.601637 228.664812 479.969567 1156.891894 3294.509041 13557.557622
2025-12-21 64.728854 115.520951 217.038630 460.173381 1125.055554 3271.247572 13966.381494